| Abstract: |
This position paper presents an integrated, end-to-end Internet of Things (IoT) architecture for forest fire
risk monitoring and early warning in remote regions lacking Wi-Fi or cellular connectivity. Autonomous
sensor nodes (LilyGo TTGO T-Beam, ESP32-S3 with LoRa SX1262) communicate via point-to-point LoRa
(868/915 MHz) to a cloud pipeline on Amazon Web Services (AWS) (IoT Core, Lambda, DynamoDB, S3),
provisioned via Terraform. A containerised Random Forest model, deployed as an AWS Lambda function,
predicts fire risk on a 0–5 scale from temperature, humidity, and consecutive dry days, visualised through
a Streamlit Cloud dashboard. Five validation phases are complete: virtual prototyping on Wokwi, a multinode simulated LoRa network, an end-to-end AWS pipeline, machine learning validation on 627 INMET
stations (F1 = 0.748 / AUC-ROC = 0.801, 2024 validation; F1 = 0.710 / AUC-ROC = 0.759, 2025 test), and a
dashboard validated with 10,533 readings from three Parana stations. Physical hardware has been acquired ´
and field validation in Portugal is ongoing. Rather than proposing new machine learning methods, this work’s
principal contribution is integrating autonomous sensing, long-range LoRa communication, cloud processing,
and predictive analytics into a single, reproducible architecture, presented as a partially validated prototype
pending field evidence and comparison against established fire-risk models. |